National Bank Valuation

NBHC Stock  USD 41.84  1.10  2.70%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. National Bank Holdings secures a last-minute Real Value of $46.89 per share. The latest price of the firm is $41.84. Our model forecasts the value of National Bank Holdings from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.24 B, return on equity of 0.0815, and Profit Margin of 0.28 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting National Bank's valuation include:
Price Book
1.3609
Enterprise Value
1.2 B
Price Sales
4.7329
Trailing PE
14.6807
Enterprise Value Revenue
4.575
Undervalued
Today
41.84
Please note that National Bank's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of National Bank Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing National Bank's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since National Bank is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of National Stock. However, National Bank's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  41.84 Real  46.89 Target  46.25 Hype  41.82
The real value of National Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of National Bank Holdings Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on National Bank's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of National Bank's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
46.89
Real Value
48.42
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of National Bank Holdings helps investors to forecast how National stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of National Bank more accurately as focusing exclusively on National Bank's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.640.710.79
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.2941.8243.35
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0946.2551.34
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use National Bank's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of National Bank's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against National Bank's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for National Bank we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

National Bank Cash

349.47 Million

National Revenue by Product

National Bank Total Value Analysis

National Bank Holdings is now forecasted to have valuation of 1.24 B with market capitalization of 1.88 B, debt of 71.89 M, and cash on hands of 476.01 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the National Bank fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.24 B
1.88 B
71.89 M
476.01 M

National Bank Investor Information

About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.36. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Bank Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2026. National Bank Holdings is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.

National Bank Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. National Bank has an asset utilization ratio of 5.91 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.0591 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that National Bank Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

National Bank Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration National Bank's profitability measurements, National Bank Holdings is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess National Bank's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2010-06-30
Previous Quarter
35.3 M
Current Value
16 M
Quarterly Volatility
12.8 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, National Bank's Operating Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.20, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 257.9 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.90.6918
Significantly Up
Very volatile
For National Bank profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of National Bank Holdings to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well National Bank utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between National Bank's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of National Bank over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

National Bank Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of National Bank is estimated to be 0.71 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.64 to a high of 0.79. National Bank's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.85. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for National Bank Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
National Bank is projected to generate 0.71 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. National Bank earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected National Bank EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on National Bank's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as National Bank, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

National Bank Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of National Bank's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of National Bank is estimated to be 0.71 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.64 to a high of 0.79. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for National Bank Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.6
0.64
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.71
0.79
Highest

National Bank Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of National Bank's value are higher than the current market price of the National Bank stock. In this case, investors may conclude that National Bank is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and National Bank's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
486.97%
0.6
0.71
2.85

National Bank Ownership Allocation

National Bank Holdings maintains a total of 45.05 Million outstanding shares. The majority of National Bank outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in National Bank Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in National Bank Holdings. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of National Bank as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

National Bank Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 583.94 M. Net Income was 118.81 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 398.27 M.

National Bank Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates National Bank's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in National Bank and how it compares across the competition.

About National Bank Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines National Bank's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of National Bank. We calculate exposure to National Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of National Bank's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit404 M257.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.23  0.24 
Operating Profit Margin 0.24  0.26 
Net Profit Margin 0.19  0.20 
Gross Profit Margin 0.69  0.90 

National Bank Quarterly Retained Earnings

572.46 Million

National Bank's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether National Bank's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of National Bank can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of National Bank represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of National, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

National Bank Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about 51.9 M. The current year's Dividend Yield is expected to grow to 0.03. At present, National Bank's Retained Earnings Total Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Earning Assets is expected to grow to about 984.9 M, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to grow to (1.63).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid49.4 M51.9 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.42  0.44 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.80  1.89 
There are various types of dividends National Bank can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of National shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from National Bank Holdings directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When National pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of National Bank by the value of the dividends paid out.

National Bank Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.417

National Bank Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of National Bank Holdings and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value National we look at many different elements of the entity such as National's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as National Bank, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use National Bank's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes National Bank's worth.

Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis

When running National Bank's price analysis, check to measure National Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Bank is operating at the current time. Most of National Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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